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Rhine at Record Low as Heatwave Disrupts German Industry

Record-low Rhine water levels, driven by heat and drought, are disrupting German cargo shipping and threatening industrial output.

Prolonged high temperatures and scarce rainfall have pushed Germany's Rhine River to record-low levels, severely disrupting cargo shipping and placing significant strain on the nation's industrial supply chain.

In Dusseldorf, official measurements recorded the water level at just 20 centimeters on Friday morning. While recent rainfall has offered a slight recovery, this figure remains below the historic low of 23 centimeters set in 2018. The average water level at this location between 2010 and 2020 was approximately 257 centimeters.

The extreme low water has exposed vast stretches of riverbed and severely restricted navigation. The Rhine carries roughly 80 percent of Germany's inland waterway freight, channeling coal, petroleum, ores, and chemical raw materials to the country's industrial heartlands.

In its latest monthly report, Germany's central bank warned that months of dry weather have caused water levels to drop sharply. Vessels are unable to sail at full capacity, leading to higher transport costs, shipment delays, and disruptions to industrial production and exports. The bank cited low water levels as a significant factor weighing on economic activity in the third quarter, visibly hampering the nation's economic recovery.

A scenario analysis by the German Economic Institute estimated that a sustained one-month low-water period could reduce waterway freight volume by about 25 percent, potentially shaving roughly 1 percent off industrial output.

The heatwave and drought are transmitting climate risks step by step along the Rhine, Germany's industrial lifeline, directly into the real economy.